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September 2002

Affordable housing is the wrong way to revitalize Trenton

By Dan Dodson

Rising median income is the surest sign that a city is revitalizing, but Trenton has lost ground over the last decade. According to the 2000 Census, New Jersey's median household income has risen 4 percent over the last decade, to $54,226 when adjusted for inflation, while Mercer County's has risen 6 percent, to $56,612. Meanwhile, Trenton's median household income has actually decreased 6.7percent when adjusted for inflation, to $31,074. That's right, decreased.

There are only three ways this could have happened: One, Trentonians haven't received pay increases; two, highly paid people have moved away; or three, low-income families have moved into town. The debate over housing won't affect salaries much, but it has everything to do with immigration in and out of our city.

Affordable housing is a popular cause because it's easy to want people to have nice homes. Arguing against the cause elicits strong emotions and breeds suspicion of racism and classism. The debate becomes more difficult because the unintended consequences of subsidized housing manifest themselves over long periods of time, which complicates the ability of politicians and the press to respond. Finally, workers in both governmental and non-governmental agencies who are tied to the affordable housing industry create a powerful lobby to which the public responds.

Real public debate needs to progress beyond short-term benefits, no matter how uncomfortable it may be.

Building homes for people of low income sounds like a good idea. But if it were such a great idea, why aren't our wealthy suburban neighbors doing it instead of paying us to do it for them? Becoming Princeton's poor neighbor isn't sustainable. One argument for affordable housing subsidies is that working people need a place to live, and all those jobs in Princeton and West Windsor would go unfilled without affordable housing. That's true, but low-income housing also places a burden on police, social services and schools and has a negative impact on property values. Overburdening a city with low-income neighborhoods drains the very social welfare systems meant to support the poor (are you comfortable with the word poor? Or would you prefer a more PC term?) . The "Mount Laurel money" that rich towns pay for Trenton to develop housing doesn't cover these social costs. It's a great deal for Princeton and a bad deal for Trenton.

Average is a great goal for Trenton

According to eNeighborhoods.com, which provides quality-of-life information to leading real estate brokers, Trenton's low income level ranks it in the bottom nine percent of communities in New Jersey. Our schools are in the bottom two percent and our crime is in the bottom one percent. Students of N.J. policy know that crime and school performance are highly correlated with a town's median income, and not even increased school funding seems to make a difference. The data for Hamilton, Princeton and Trenton show this to be true.

Because Trenton's ratables are lower than its neighbors, we are always in the position of having to beg for more than our fair share of state, federal and private funds. Even with these donations, and the highest tax rate in the county, the city budget is always under strain, our streets are littered and pot-holed and we're closing firehouses.

If our incomes and home values were average, Trenton would no longer have these problems. With our history, charm and density, this city would be a much better place to live than Hamilton.

Trenton has an oversupply of low income housing

According to the NJ Guide to Affordable Housing, Trenton has almost 6,000 publicly funded affordable housing units; Hamilton has 436 and West Windsor, 161. According to the 2000 census, 89percent of owner-occupied homes were valued at less than $100,000, 89 percent of the residents who paid rent paid less than$1000 a month, and 11percent of monthly rental payments were under $200 a month. Less than one percent of the homes in Trenton are valued at more than $300,000.

Trenton's median home value is only $65,500, well below the $120,000 median national price and New Jersey's median of $171,988. Trenton is a low-cost housing haven in the middle of the highest priced state in the union. It is disingenuous to argue that Trenton has a shortage of affordable housing when the evidence clearly points to the contrary.

Downtowner readers, who surely aced their college economics courses, know that increasing the supply of a product pushes down prices and stimulates demand. When a family moves into new affordable housing, there is always another family ready to move into their old apartment. Because Trenton has so many low-income housing units, it is a very popular destination for low-income families who are moving into central Jersey. We should be more worried about creating a better community for the folks who already live here than attracting low-income newcomers.


Low-cost housing is not a bad thing, and a healthy economy produces all types of housing and even allows housing stock to change in value over time. The damage is done when housing is restricted to a certain income group.

Income restrictions prevent housing units from gaining value if a neighborhood improves. Therefore, the only direction that income-restricted housing and the neighborhoods that surround it can go is down. That's what has happened with public housing projects.

If Trenton can find a way to move its median income up, then its quality-of-life factors will improve as well. Since affordable housing production moves income levels down, it has the opposite effect.

Trenton needs to be attractive to people with the money to build and renovate expensive homes, spend money in our restaurants and support our cultural organizations. More neighborhoods with homes in the $200,000 to $400,000 range will attract these middle class emigrants. A manageable urban city like Trenton could be a very attractive alternative to suburban sprawl, if only we provide a reason to move here.

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Dan Dodson is a management consultant and Leadership Trenton fellow. He can be reached at dan@livingonthenet.com www.livingonthenet.com

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